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Listen to the article4 min, read by a synthetic voice

In brief

  • About 650 offenders are leaving prisons in England and Wales on Tuesday, 13 October, after serving a third of their sentence rather than half.

  • MPs said hundreds of released prisoners were not tagged by Serco, and the Metropolitan Police is dealing with more than 100 electronic tag breaches a day in London.

  • Napo rejected a conditional 5% pay offer, and a formal ballot on industrial action is due to launch on 19 October.

  • The prison population stood at 87,499 on Monday, 12 October, up from 85,761 on 29 June.

DurhamBristol
Durham, Bristol, London · United Kingdom
How it came to this
  1. 1 OctSome 700 offenders leave jail early in the first phase
  2. 13 OctAbout 650 offenders leave jail in the second phase
  3. 19 OctFormal ballot on industrial action by the probation union Napo launches
  4. June 2027Offenders serving more than 12 years could be released from June 2027

A second wave of releases

About 650 offenders were due to leave prisons across England and Wales on Tuesday, 13 October, in the second phase of the government's early release scheme. Under the new rules they leave after serving a third of their sentence behind bars rather than half, and some were freed as little as a third of the way through terms of 18 months to two and a half years. The first phase freed some 700 offenders on 1 October. Later batches will reach offenders with increasingly long sentences, and those serving more than 12 years could walk free from June 2027. Prisoners convicted of manslaughter are excluded, so the killers of a police constable who died in 2019 will not be eligible. An intervention by Andy Burnham, the new prime minister, cut the overall total from 6,000 to about 2,000 freed in October 2026 plus another 3,000 in stages over the next year, and ministers also intervened to exempt rapists and the most serious child sex offenders.

Tagging gaps and police strain

MPs said hundreds of prisoners released early, including stalkers and violent offenders, were not being tagged by Serco, the outsourcing company. Clive Efford, the Labour MP for Eltham and Chislehurst, raised the issue in an urgent question in the Commons on Tuesday, 13 October, and said the firm had failed to source enough tags for prisoners leaving each jail.

“They are not actually fulfilling their contracts.”

Clive Efford, labour MP for Eltham and Chislehurst

Nick Timothy, the shadow justice secretary, said most prisoners were not being tagged before release despite promises of the toughest tagging regime in history, and the justice minister Jake Richards replied that the department was working with the contractor.

“We are working closely with Serco and have seen an improvement in the implementation since March this year.”

Jake Richards, justice minister

Sir Mark Rowley told LBC that he was "worried" about offenders being released into communities. The Metropolitan Police said it was arresting 2 to 3 early-release offenders a week since the start of August and dealing with more than 100 electronic tag breaches a day in London. A report in the week of 5 October found almost half of tags used to track offenders were not fitted on time, and His Majesty's Inspectorate of Probation believes victims are being put at risk.

Probation strain and the ballot

Pay talks with probation officers ended with a conditional "best and final" offer worth 5%, which the union's negotiating committee rejected. Members will be asked to vote on industrial action over pay, along with a question on workloads, in a formal ballot launching on 19 October. Napo held a pre-ballot meeting on Tuesday, 13 October, and says probation has been asked to take on huge amounts of extra work because tens of thousands of prisoners have been released early since 2022. The Institute for Government's latest report on probation in England and Wales describes near-constant organisational change, de-skilling, and recalls to prison for breached conditions rather than new offences. According to the Telegraph, more than a third of the extra prison spaces created by the scheme have been wiped out within a week, with criminals being recalled.

Prison numbers and conditions

Ministry of Justice weekly data put the prison population of England and Wales at 87,499 on Monday, 12 October, up from 85,761 on 29 June, a rise of 2%.

Prison population in England and Walesprisoners
2026-06-2985,761
2026-10-1287,499
2026-06-29
85761 prisoners
2026-10-12
87499 prisoners

Data from the article text

Ministers argue the expanded scheme is needed to keep the justice system from buckling after a summer dominated by the issue. Claire Waxman, the victims' commissioner, said the government's confidence in the plan "is not yet matched by the reality on the ground". At HMP Durham, prisoners cheered and punched the air as they left, and one inmate told the Prime Minister to scrap the recalls. A released man described the jail as a tough, Victorian prison with poor food and some inmates using Spice, while another said he had to travel to Bristol immediately to avoid being recalled.

Next in today’s edition

Bend school shooting leaves three children and a teacher dead

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Sources and context

  • The Guardianon 13 Oct at 18:32The Guardian view on probation: overcrowded prisons need an outlet
  • The Guardianon 13 Oct at 17:08Hundreds of early-release prisoners in England and Wales not being tagged, say MPs
  • The Telegraphon 13 Oct at 16:38Prisoners celebrate walking free in second wave of early release
  • LBCon 13 Oct at 11:44Hundreds more prisoners walk out of jail in second wave of Labour's early release scheme | LBC
Andy Burnham
Prime minister whose intervention reduced the early release total from 6,000
Clive Efford
Labour MP for Eltham and Chislehurst who raised tagging failures in the Commons
Nick Timothy
Shadow justice secretary who criticised the tagging rollout
Jake Richards
Justice minister who defended the tagging arrangements with Serco
Mark Rowley
Metropolitan Police commissioner who expressed concern about early-release offenders

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First version on 13 Oct at 08:57, last change on 13 Oct at 21:29.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

A second wave of releasesA second wave of releasesTagging gaps and police strainTagging gaps and police strainProbation strain and the ballotProbation strain and the ballotPrison numbers and conditionsPrison numbers and conditions

Based on reports by

The Guardian, The Telegraph, LBC, The Independent, BBC

List of sources

Safety · Durham, Bristol, and London

Second wave of early prison releases begins in England and Wales as tagging gaps emerge

The second phase of England and Wales' early release scheme began on Tuesday, 13 October, with about 650 offenders due to leave jail, as MPs and police raised concerns over tagging.

Durham
Bristol

Ask about this text

AI text based on reports by The Guardian, The Telegraph, LBC and other publishers. Changed on 13 Oct at 21:29.

Ask your own question
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