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In brief

  • Lithuanian Interior Minister Martynas Katelynas announced on 5 October 2026 that contingency plans prepare for at least one million evacuees from Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia to enter Poland in the event of war.

  • Lithuania is establishing a specialized reception facility in Lazdijai following nationwide civil protection exercises involving 20 Polish officials that concluded on 3 October 2026.

  • Poland extended temporary checks across 13 points along the 104-kilometre Lithuanian border until 30 March 2027 while using selective inspections to minimize traffic delays.

Budzisko
Budzisko, Suwałki, Lazdijai · Poland, Lithuania
How it came to this
  1. July 2025Poland reinstates temporary controls across 13 locations on the Lithuanian border.
  2. 3 OctLithuania concludes civil defense drills testing Suwałki Corridor evacuation logistics with Polish observers.
  3. 5 OctInterior ministers Martynas Katelynas and Marcin Kierwiński meet in Budzisko to coordinate plans for up to one million evacuees.
  4. 30 MarScheduled expiration date of Poland's six-month extension of border controls with Lithuania and Germany.

Mass evacuation contingency

On Monday, 5 October 2026, Polish Interior Minister Marcin Kierwiński met Lithuanian Interior Minister Martynas Katelynas in Suwałki and at the Budzisko-Kalvarija border crossing to coordinate civil defense procedures. Lithuania announced that emergency plans prepare for up to one million people to evacuate into Poland from Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia in the event of a military attack by Russia. Under the preliminary framework, Poland's Podlaskie Voivodeship would absorb the primary intake of displaced persons crossing the 104-kilometre frontier. Lithuanian authorities are constructing a specialized reception facility in Lazdijai near the border to organize departures. Katelynas described the scope of the corridor following discussions with Polish officials.

“This border crossing point, which connects us to Poland, is intended to accommodate around one million refugees, and maybe even more.”

Martynas Katelynas, lithuanian Minister of the Interior

Cross-border logistics and exercises

The ministerial meeting followed nationwide civil defense drills in Lithuania that concluded on Saturday, 3 October 2026. Approximately 20 Polish officials participated in the exercises, which evaluated evacuation logistics, emergency infrastructure, and border passage capacity. The testing focused on the Suwałki Corridor, the land strip between the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad and Belarus that connects the Baltic nations to the rest of NATO territory. Kierwiński stated that Polish agencies will now update their national evacuation protocols based on findings from the Lithuanian drills. Tasks involving alternative border crossings and reception point staffing have been allocated to specific regional units.

“As far as cross-border evacuation plans, infrastructure issues, alternative border crossings in emergency situations, and reception points are concerned, these tasks are assigned to individual units and we are starting intensive work in this area.”

Marcin Kierwiński, polish Minister of the Interior and Administration

Border controls and regional security

The ministers also reviewed existing controls along the Polish-Lithuanian frontier, which Poland reinstated in July 2025 across 13 designated locations to restrict irregular migration. Polish authorities have extended these checks, alongside controls on the German border, by six months until 30 March 2027. Both ministers noted that processing at the border has improved compared to the multi-kilometre queues recorded during the summer. Polish border guards currently conduct selective inspections based on statistical profiling rather than stopping every vehicle. While Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski previously assessed that Russian armed forces currently lack the capacity for a large-scale offensive against NATO territory because of commitments in Ukraine, officials maintained that civil protection preparations must address potential hybrid threats.

Bilateral defense alignment

Both governments stated that regional defense planning requires continuous coordination between Warsaw and the Baltic capitals to counter Russian actions and hybrid threats. Katelynas emphasized that Lithuania and Poland intend to maintain unified operational policies on civil protection and cross-border management.

“Poland and Lithuania are like brothers, like sisters who support each other and will continue to support each other.”

Martynas Katelynas, lithuanian Minister of the Interior

Polish officials affirmed that temporary border measures will stay in force until the migration and security factors justifying them subside, while maintaining open channels for emergency evacuation planning.

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Sources and context

  • Digi24on 5 Oct at 21:31Lituania avertizează că un milion de refugiați ar putea fugi în Polonia în cazul unui atac al Rusiei
  • Gazeta Współczesnaon 5 Oct at 18:10Ministrowie Litwy i Polski na spotkaniu w Podlaskiem o bezpieczeństwie Polski i Litwy
  • wpolityce.plon 5 Oct at 18:03Szykują się na najgorsze. Nawet milion uchodźców w Polsce
  • Rzeczpospolitaon 5 Oct at 17:28Nawet milion uchodźców może trafić do Polski. Litwa przygotowuje się na taki scenariusz
Martynas Katelynas
Lithuanian Minister of the Interior
Marcin Kierwiński
Polish Minister of the Interior and Administration
Radosław Sikorski
Polish Minister of Foreign Affairs

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Published on 5 Oct at 22:51.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

Mass evacuation contingencyMass evacuation contingencyCross-border logistics and exercisesCross-border logistics and exercisesBorder controls and regional securityBorder controls and regional securityBilateral defense alignmentBilateral defense alignment

Based on reports by

Digi24, Gazeta Współczesna, wpolityce.pl, Rzeczpospolita, rmf24.pl

List of sources

Conflicts · Budzisko, Suwałki, and Lazdijai

Poland and Lithuania prepare emergency evacuation plans for one million Baltic residents

Ministers meeting in Budzisko agreed on logistical frameworks to handle up to one million potential evacuees across the Suwałki Corridor in the event of Russian military action, while extending border controls into 2027.

Budzisko

Ask about this text

AI text based on reports by Digi24, Gazeta Współczesna, wpolityce.pl and other publishers. Published on 5 Oct at 22:51.

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