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In brief

  • None of the seven candidates avoided a negative vote from the five permanent members (the United States, Russia, China, France and the United Kingdom) in the sixth straw poll on Friday, 16 October.

  • Rebeca Grynspan received nine encourage votes and five discourage votes, two of them from permanent members, and was ahead in four of the five recent polls.

  • Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett and Rafael Grossi each received eight encourage votes and six discourage votes, two of them from permanent members.

  • The five permanent members voted with red ballots and the ten elected members with white ones, so the individual permanent members' votes cannot be traced to a named country.

New York
New York · United States

A straw poll with no clear front-runner

The Security Council held its sixth informal straw poll on Friday, 16 October, to narrow the field for the successor to António Guterres, whose second five-year term as secretary-general ends on 31 December. Diplomatic sources described the ballot as non-binding and anonymous. Each of the 15 council members marked every candidate as 'encourage', 'discourage' or 'no opinion', and none of the seven candidates escaped a negative mark from a permanent member, namely the United States, Russia, China, France and the United Kingdom.

For the first time, the five permanent members used red ballots while the ten elected members used white ones. Because the ballots were anonymous, the sources could not say which permanent member opposed which candidate.

Grynspan still ahead, with resistance

Rebeca Grynspan, the Costa Rican economist who headed the UN trade and development agency, UNCTAD, received nine encourage votes, the most of any candidate. She also received five discourage votes, two of them from permanent members, and one no-opinion mark. She has been ahead in four of the five polls held in recent months, while a poll in August placed Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett first. If chosen, Grynspan would be the first woman to lead the United Nations.

Encourage votes in the sixth informal straw pollvotes
Rebeca Grynspan9
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett8
Rafael Grossi8
Macky Sall5
Olara Otunnu4
María Fernanda Espinosa3
Ivonne A-Baki1
Rebeca Grynspan
9 votes
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
8 votes
Rafael Grossi
8 votes
Macky Sall
5 votes
Olara Otunnu
4 votes
María Fernanda Espinosa
3 votes
Ivonne A-Baki
1 votes

Data from the article text

The chasing pack

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, a former foreign minister of Guyana who now serves as its UN ambassador, and Rafael Grossi, head of the International Atomic Energy Agency, each won eight encourage votes. Both drew six discourage votes, two of them from permanent members. Olara Otunnu of Uganda, a former UN special representative for children and armed conflict, received four encourage and ten discourage votes. Macky Sall, a former president of Senegal, got five encouraging and ten discouraging marks. María Fernanda Espinosa of Ecuador, a former foreign and defence minister, drew three encourage and nine discourage votes, while Ivonne A-Baki, an Ecuadorian diplomat, received one encourage and fourteen discourage votes.

Discourage votes in the sixth informal straw pollvotes
Rebeca Grynspan5
Rafael Grossi6
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett6
Macky Sall10
Olara Otunnu10
María Fernanda Espinosa9
Ivonne A-Baki14
Rebeca Grynspan
5 votes
Rafael Grossi
6 votes
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
6 votes
Macky Sall
10 votes
Olara Otunnu
10 votes
María Fernanda Espinosa
9 votes
Ivonne A-Baki
14 votes

Data from the article text

Washington's expectations

Before the vote, the US permanent representative to the UN, Mike Waltz, said that countries may put forward more candidates, which he described as their sovereign right. He also set out Washington's priorities for the next secretary-general: reform of peacekeeping operations, budget reform and greater rigour. He called for less bureaucracy and lower overhead costs. US media reports cited in the coverage say Washington opposes all seven candidates.

What happens next

A candidate needs at least nine votes from the 15 council members and must avoid a veto from any of the five permanent members, which the sources say remain deeply divided. Once both conditions are met, the name goes to the General Assembly, where all UN member states confirm the choice. A diplomatic source recalled that Kofi Annan was not a candidate until a day before he was elected in 1996. Names now circulating include Lana Nusseibeh of the United Arab Emirates and Feridun Sinirlioglu of Turkey, though these remain speculation. Nikolai Mladenov, a Bulgarian who serves as High Representative for Gaza of the Peace Council set up by Donald Trump, has also been mentioned. The search takes place as the UN faces a multiplication of conflicts, persistent divisions on the Security Council and serious financial difficulties.

Next in today’s edition

Pope Leo XIV recovers after lung surgery, Vatican reports

On Friday, 16 October, the Vatican said Pope Leo XIV kept improving after lung surgery, and that day he celebrated Mass in a room at Rome's Gemelli Hospital.

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Sources and context

  • gelderlander.nl5 h agoCandidates for UN leadership receive veto in sixth informal round of votingKandidaten voor VN-leiderschap krijgen veto bij zesde informele stemronde · original in Dutch
  • Le Monde.fr5 h agoNext UN Secretary-General: no candidate reaches consensus to succeed Antonio GuterresProchain secrétaire général de l'ONU : aucun candidat ne fait consensus pour succéder à Antonio Guterres · original in French
  • Deutsche Welle6 h agoSecurity Council vetoes all seven candidates for UN chiefConsejo de Seguridad veta a los siete candidatos a jefe ONU · original in Spanish
  • La Libre.be7 h agoAt the UN, no candidate reaches consensus to succeed GuterresÀ l'ONU, aucun candidat ne fait consensus pour succéder à Guterres · original in French
António Guterres
Outgoing UN secretary-general whose second term ends on 31 December 2026
Rebeca Grynspan
Costa Rican economist and former head of UNCTAD, leading candidate with nine encourage votes
Rafael Grossi
Head of the International Atomic Energy Agency and a candidate with eight encourage votes
Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett
Guyana's UN ambassador and former foreign minister, a candidate with eight encourage votes
Mike Waltz
US permanent representative to the United Nations who set out Washington's expectations for the post
Olara Otunnu
Ugandan candidate and former UN special representative for children and armed conflict
Macky Sall
Senegalese candidate and former president of Senegal
María Fernanda Espinosa
Ecuadorian candidate and former foreign and defence minister
Ivonne A-Baki
Ecuadorian diplomat and candidate in the straw poll

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Published today at 02:13.

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Text generated by AI from the reports of the publishers listed and checked automatically, with no human editor. How Pollar is made

In this text

A straw poll with no clear front-runnerA straw poll with no clear front-runnerGrynspan still ahead, with resistanceGrynspan still ahead, with resistanceThe chasing packThe chasing packWashington's expectationsWashington's expectationsWhat happens nextWhat happens next

Based on reports by

gelderlander.nl, Le Monde.fr, Deutsche Welle, La Libre.be, Le Soir, EL PAÍS

List of sources

Diplomacy · New York

No UN secretary-general candidate escapes P5 objections in sixth straw poll

Permanent Security Council members voted against all seven candidates in an anonymous, non-binding straw poll on Friday, 16 October. Rebeca Grynspan again drew the most encourage votes, with nine.

New York

Ask about this text

AI text based on reports by gelderlander.nl, Le Monde.fr, Deutsche Welle and other publishers. Published today at 02:13.

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How many encourage votes did Rebeca Grynspan receive?
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