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Moritz Schularick

Moritz Schularick

German economist

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  • Jun 11

    IfW Kiel holds 2026 German growth forecast at 0.8% despite Iran war, cuts 2027 outlook to 1.0%

    The Kiel Institute for the World Economy maintained its 0.8% GDP growth forecast for Germany in 2026, bucking a wave of downgrades by other forecasters, but lowered its 2027 projection from 1.4% to 1.0% as the Iran war keeps commodity prices elevated.

  • Jun 11

    Russia's war economy hits its limits: reserves near depletion, growth stalls, and dependence on China deepens, Kiel Institute study finds

    More than four years into the invasion of Ukraine, a new study by the Kiel Institute and the Stockholm Institute of Transition Economics finds Russia's fiscal reserves largely exhausted, growth at a standstill, and a structural dependence on China that weakens Moscow's long-term position.

Today’s Brief

Hormuz tolls and Spanish ashes

Trump escalates in Hormuz as Europe hardens defences and heat exposes brittle systems

The Gulf moved from danger to outright economic coercion, with American strikes, Iranian retaliation claims and a proposed fee on the world's most sensitive oil lane. Europe, meanwhile, answered insecurity with missile plans, cyber protests and more rules for technology at home.

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Other · Updated 16m ago

Culture, media and the new divides

The Commission President's announcement of upcoming legislation to restrict children's social media access signals a significant policy shift, impacting platforms and user access across the EU.

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